margalabargala 2 days ago

It's certainly the case that colorectal cancer is becoming more common, and among younger people. Plenty of possible reasons; diet, plastics, PFAS, all of the above, take your pick.

However, the fact that mortality has been decreasing above the age of frequent screenings, and increasing below that age, tells us that whatever the problem, the symptom (cancer) could be addressed with better screening, leading to earlier detection and treatment.

Mortality is increasing in young people because they don't get screened, so when it does happened no one catches anything until it's too late.

If the age for recommended regular colonoscopies was 40 or 45, we would see the same mortality reduction above that cutoff.

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oarfish 2 days ago

> Plenty of possible reasons; diet, plastics, PFAS, all of the above, take your pick.

I think obesity is the main confounder in all such statistics. Thats the thing that has most markedly gone up over the past decades

jajko 2 days ago

You don't know that. Environment is much more polluted, and thus is our food. We move less. And so on.

barney54 2 days ago

Whose environment is much more polluted. In the developed world, pollution is decreasing. For the U.S., for example: https://gispub.epa.gov/air/trendsreport/2024/

lithocarpus 2 days ago

That's showing that air pollution I would guess mostly from cars has gone down since 1990.

There are lots of other new chemicals not shown on that chart that are in our food and clothes and everything, particularly almost everything modern babies in the US come in contact with.

Cthulhu_ 2 days ago

While PFAS and microplastics and the like are a huge problem, you can't just dismiss the major efforts done over the decades to reduce pollution and improve health; wood / coal fire bans, mandatory catalytic converters, ban on asbestos and CFCs, lead-free fuel and paint, EVs, renewable electricity generation, emission zones, trash collection & safe disposal, smoking bans and discouraging measures, etc. It's not an either/or, and not celebrating successes means there will be less inclination to also solve the newly discovered issues.

lithocarpus 1 hour ago

Fair points honestly. We tried a lot of awful stuff in the 1900s that has been stopped and that should be celebrated.

There's also a lot that was never stopped, and more and more coming all the time.

looofooo0 2 days ago

There is also a lot less toxic chemicals around nowadays such as flame retardants, DDT, lead (petrol), asbestos, PCB etc.

Cthulhu_ 2 days ago

Obesity is a symptom; food poverty, financial poverty, lifestyle choices, city design, culture, etc etc etc.

chucksmash 1 day ago

This mindset drives me nuts. It's like the rhetorical opposite of victim-blaming. It takes something that is within an individual's locus of control and pretends they have zero agency in the matter.

Last week I finished a two month diet where a big chunk of my weekly calories and nutrients came from cheap staples I prepared myself (specifically brown rice, black beans, steelcut oats, spinach, and eggs).

Aside from the food, the cost was 1. watching some ads in the free version of the calorie counter app I used to make sure I was getting the nutrients I needed and 2. ~$30 for a food scale so I could be precise about what I was eating.

Circumstances make it easier to be unhealthy but what I did is attainable by the vast majority of obese people.

const_cast 1 day ago

It's complicated because it's both, with varying levels of influence.

Obviously, it cannot be 100% on the individual. Because then, how did we get an obesity epidemic? Did people somehow, magically, become more lazy since 1970? That doesn't sound plausible to me.

It's systemic in nature. Consider tobacco use, a problem we've largely solved in the US. We went from something like 50% of people smoking in 1960 to about 10% now. In young people, the results are even more drastic. It's sort of magic - a reverse obesity epidemic.

How did we do this? A combination of things. Of course people worked very hard to quit, but they also got PSAs and their doctor's helped them. And then we made it much, much harder to smoke.

The thing is, people are creatures of influence and habit. Much of what we do is because it's low resistance. We've allowed obesity to become a systemic problem because of our food available, our culture, and our lifestyles.

It's not that some place like, say, Paris is healthy. But it's a lot easier to be accidentally not-obese in Paris, France than in Paris, Texas.

SpicyLemonZest 1 day ago

The question of how someone who wants to lose weight should do so doesn't really have much to do with why people in general are more overweight than decades ago. People in the 80s and 90s had a lot of processed foods, didn't generally use food scales, and calorie counter apps hadn't been invented yet.