It is hard to predict a new advancement in EV technology, but if we get to a point where an EV is cheaper than the equivalent ICE and charges faster than you can gas up (so about twice as fast as the fastest EV today), and has a longer range than the equivalent ICE, then people will buy more of them. Then we will start to see more EV chargers than gas stations.
Advancements in AI might make it possible to have attendant-less stations if you can have automated sales of snacks and other merchandise, and automated payments for chargers and gas, maybe you don't need an attendant on duty 24/7
Automated payment is already very much the norm. Just put in your credit card before refueling.
Vending machines solved the automated snack sales decades ago, except for the restocking.
I meant that a lot of people still pay cash for gas, but a move toward more electronic payments or at least an automated cash kiosk would let you get rid of those last use cases for a human attendant to take cash
And they’ll need to be as cheap or cheaper than an ICE car :)
They already are significantly cheaper than ICE in China, the rest of the world won't be far behind.
Automobile marketshare for battery electric vehicles (BEV) in China reached 27% in 2024, compared to 13% in the EU and 8% in the US.
Wow I didn’t realize adoption was so high in China
https://www.bcg.com/publications/2025/what-chinas-ev-market-...
It’s very exciting imho, uptake of EVs and hybrids in China is contributing to noticeable oil demand destruction, and Chinese oil companies have already called the demand peak.
https://cleantechnica.com/2024/11/21/the-us-energy-informati...
https://www.iea.org/commentaries/oil-demand-for-fuels-in-chi...
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/CNPC-Chin...
If you include PHEV, it's over 50% now: https://www.techinasia.com/news/china-sets-record-with-new-e...