dehrmann 1 day ago

All it takes is 14 grad students studying the same thing targeting a 95% confidence interval for, on average, one to stumble upon a 5% case. Factor in publication bias and you get a bunch of junk data.

I think I heard this idea from Freakonomics, but a fix is to propose research to a journal before conducting it and being committed to publication regardless of outcome.

4
beng-nl 1 day ago

A great idea. Also known as a pre registered study.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preregistration_(science)

constantcrying 7 hours ago

>but a fix is to propose research to a journal before conducting it and being committed to publication regardless of outcome.

Does not fix the underlying issue. Having a "this does not work" paper on your resume will do little for your career. So the incentives to make data fit a positive hypothesis are still there.

sightbroke 4 hours ago

That is categorically not true. Showing why something does not work (or is not advantageous over other methods) demonstrates you know how to properly conduct research which is good for ones resume.

constantcrying 3 hours ago

The paper is irrelevant and will never get cited. There is essentially zero benefit to your career as it is nothing more than a single bullet point on your resume.

Discovering something that works is significant, discovering something that does not work is irrelevant.

Can you name a single scientist, e.g. from your field, who is known for showing that something does not work?

sightbroke 2 hours ago

I would encourage you to learn more about how science and research is conducted before continuing to make uninformed comments.

poincaredisk 22 hours ago

Not familiar with this idea, but this idea is commonly applied for grant applications: only apply for a grant when you finished the thing you promise to work on. Then use the grant money to prototype the next five ideas (of which maybe one works), because science is about exploration.

mikeyouse 18 hours ago

Most pharma / medicine studies are pre-registered now. Sometimes the endpoints change based on what the scientists are seeing, but if they're worth their salt, they still report the original scoped findings as well.